Fed Recovery Pump🚀Technical Analysis w/ @TimWarrenTrades,” features Paul Barron and Tim Warren discussing the FOMC pump, potential rate cuts, and the performance of various cryptocurrencies.
Here is a summary and highlights from the video:
- FOMC and Rate Cuts: Paul and Tim discuss the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting and the likelihood of rate cuts. Tim notes that while he initially expected at least two rate cuts this year, the recent FOMC meeting and Jerome Powell’s comments suggest there might only be one, or even zero, cuts before the end of the year.
- PCE Inflation Data: The discussion touches on the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation data, which came in hotter than expected (2.6% instead of 2.5%), further supporting Powell’s cautious stance on rate cuts.
- Jim Bianco’s Perspective: A clip of Jim Bianco is played, where he argues that the current economy is not like 2019 and that elevated inflation (around 3-4%) means the Fed should not be talking about cutting rates, especially with all-time highs in the stock market, housing, and crypto.
- Ethereum’s Performance: Tim highlights that corporate crypto treasury holdings are up to $100 billion, with significant acceleration in acquiring ETH. He notes that Ethereum is holding up better than other cryptocurrencies, consolidating upwards compared to Bitcoin’s sideways consolidation.
- Tim Warren’s Top 5 Altcoins from the Digital Asset Report: Tim identifies five altcoins mentioned in the digital asset report: Ethereum, Chainlink, Aave, Uniswap, and Plume (a small-cap pick with significant potential).
- Chainlink vs. Solana: When comparing Chainlink and Solana, Tim chooses Chainlink for investment due to its significantly smaller market cap ($12.7 billion vs. Solana’s $95.6 billion), which suggests greater potential for higher returns (8x or more) even if Chainlink doesn’t surpass Solana’s total market cap.
- Chainlink vs. Sui: Tim considers this a “very fair fight” as their market caps are similar. While he has faith in Sui, he gives the edge to Chainlink because it faces less competition as a dominant oracle, unlike Layer 1 solutions like Sui that compete with Ethereum and Solana.
- Chainlink vs. Aave: Tim favors Aave over Chainlink for potential gains, citing Aave’s smaller market cap ($4 billion vs. Chainlink’s $12 billion), which means Aave is a 3x away from simply tying Chainlink.
- Bitcoin’s Chart Analysis: Tim analyzes Bitcoin’s chart, noting a “falling channel” that forms a “bull flag pattern,” suggesting a potential explosive move up to $130,000. However, he also points out bearish signs on the daily oscillators, indicating a possible retest of the $112,000 support level if Bitcoin falls below $115,000.
- Bull Market Outlook: Tim believes the bull market will continue but at a more methodical pace, not reaching its full potential until actual rate cuts are implemented. He also suggests that the traditional four-year crypto cycle might be “dead and broken,” leading to a slower but longer rally similar to the stock market.
BITCOIN & ALTCOINS: IT’S A TRAP (Get Ready)!!! Bitcoin News Today, Ethereum, Solana, XRP & Chainlink
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