Clearest Signal Crypto Will Pump Way Higher

This video argues that the crypto markets are likely to continue their upward trend in the coming weeks and months, despite some bearish sentiment. The speaker highlights several signals indicating that a significant “altcoin season” is on the horizon, similar to past cycles in 2017-2018 and 2020-2021.

Here are the key highlights and signals discussed:

• Capital Rotation and Bitcoin Dominance: Historically, money flows from Bitcoin into other altcoins as investors seek higher gains once Bitcoin’s major moves are perceived to be complete. Bitcoin dominance is currently falling, while the dominance of altcoins outside the top 10 is increasing. A trend line supporting Bitcoin dominance since Q4 2022 is about to break, and a bearish engulfing candle for Bitcoin dominance is expected, which is bullish for altcoins.
• Path to Altcoin Season Chart: After Bitcoin’s initial pump, capital typically rotates to Ethereum, then mid-cap altcoins, and finally small-cap altcoins before the market cycle ends. The ETH/BTC ratio has already been increasing.
• Total 2 Market Cap Signal: The “Total 2” chart (crypto market cap excluding Bitcoin) flashed a “golden cross” on the MACD below the zero line, a strong signal that previously marked the beginning of major altcoin rallies in April 2020, July 2022, and October 2024.
• Surging Retail Interest: Google searches for altcoins have reached their highest levels since 2021, indicating a resurgence in retail interest.
• Bull Market Peak Indicators: Major bull market peak indicators like the Pi Cycle Top, Peel Multiple, and MVRV-Z score are not yet showing any alarm bells, suggesting the market is not at its peak.
• Bitcoin Chart Structure: The weekly EMA 50 is still holding up as strong support and trending upwards, indicating a healthy uptrend. Fibonacci targets suggest potential Bitcoin prices of $150K, $200K, and even $250K.
• DXY (US Dollar Index): The DXY is looking shaky and struggling to hold key support levels, which is bullish for risk assets like crypto due to an inverse correlation.
• M2 Money Supply: The global M2 money supply change is currently around 12%, significantly lower than the 20% and 30% seen in previous bull markets (2015-2017 and 2018-2021 respectively), suggesting significant room for further growth and liquidity injection into risk assets.
• Bitcoin Price Predictions: The Bitcoin power law model suggests a target well above $200,000 this cycle. Standard Chartered Bank has reiterated its forecast of $200,000 Bitcoin by the end of 2025, driven by institutional demand. Fibonacci extension targets from the previous 69K top to the bear market low point to targets of over $200,000 and up to $240K-$250K.

The speaker concludes that while the market may experience volatility and some coins will “moon” while others “rug,” the current signals point towards a potentially major euphoric phase of the cycle. He advises taking risks during “risk-on” periods and being prepared to take profits.